Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 2.367625 2.836433 3.361928 3.992848 4.727910 5.555340 6.555276
2025-12-07 1.592374 2.154848 2.854501 3.781754 4.970459 6.434492 8.364250
2025-12-14 1.191433 1.785028 2.589568 3.744452 5.341386 7.450494 10.420999
2025-12-21 0.933230 1.527939 2.395892 3.729046 5.692539 8.438764 12.519774
2025-12-28 0.807342 1.426058 2.387426 3.949882 6.373755 9.925546 15.436242
2026-01-04 0.687237 1.303309 2.317850 4.054320 6.877798 11.191365 18.144958
2026-01-11 0.604699 1.223581 2.297758 4.223404 7.487422 12.659610 21.279130
2026-01-18 0.512583 1.106296 2.191653 4.227296 7.819279 13.713960 23.853014
2026-01-25 0.418564 0.964658 2.016607 4.080666 7.870438 14.306815 25.723449
2026-02-01 0.342309 0.841487 1.853383 3.927185 7.882168 14.821075 27.490513
2026-02-08 0.294721 0.768513 1.774409 3.918090 8.146826 15.782126 30.081748
2026-02-15 0.256319 0.707614 1.709239 3.924684 8.436555 16.805220 32.853689
2026-02-22 0.218775 0.641432 1.624104 3.883110 8.637113 17.700701 35.505000
2026-03-01 0.176946 0.554283 1.477167 3.688972 8.510052 17.974178 37.044106
2026-03-08 0.151918 0.505096 1.408831 3.656019 8.707465 18.879543 39.832459
2026-03-15 0.131720 0.464147 1.352808 3.642004 8.941054 19.871935 42.859704
2026-03-22 0.125033 0.461478 1.392561 3.858567 9.699092 21.974384 48.206658
2026-03-29 0.113906 0.442275 1.385843 3.960946 10.211527 23.613633 52.746436
2026-04-05 0.106368 0.432790 1.403664 4.126575 10.884499 25.637382 58.200836
2026-04-12 0.093938 0.403383 1.360777 4.130397 11.178961 26.880465 62.136432
2026-04-19 0.078703 0.359374 1.267320 3.986792 11.103990 27.317427 64.417393
2026-04-26 0.065645 0.319101 1.176739 3.836487 10.993591 27.662890 66.522026
2026-05-03 0.057901 0.297170 1.138777 3.827581 11.235641 28.815026 70.441906